Spain vs Chile 
Spain are ~81% favorites to beat Chile in their Group D opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
3:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium, Dallas · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spain win Favorite | 81% |
1.23× | Trade |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 13% |
7.69× | Trade |
|
Chile win | 6% |
16.67× | Trade |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
Tournament favorites Spain begin in Dallas as commanding 81% picks against a Chile side rebuilding after a lean spell. La Roja's strengths are obvious: relentless possession, a world-class midfield orchestrated by Pedri, and the spark of Lamine Yamal out wide. Chile will try to stay compact, slow the game and disrupt Spain's rhythm, but containing that midfield for 90 minutes is a tall order for any team, let alone one in transition. The market expects Spain to dominate the ball and the chances; the only real variance is whether Chile can nick something on the counter or from a set piece. With Croatia the main threat in Group D, Spain will want a convincing, low-risk start to underline their status as the team to beat in 2026. Anything less than a controlled win would raise eyebrows. Traders will be watching the winning margin and the goals markets far more closely than the match-winner price.
👉 New to Polymarket? Read our step-by-step guide to placing your first World Cup bet — what prediction markets are, how USDC works and how to buy a position on a match.
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