Portugal vs South Korea 
Portugal are ~66% favorites to beat South Korea in their Group H opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
3:00 PM ET · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Portugal win Favorite | 66% |
1.52× | Trade |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 21% |
4.76× | Trade |
|
South Korea win | 13% |
7.69× | Trade |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
Portugal open in Kansas City as 66% favorites against a quick, well-drilled South Korea — a tighter opener than the headline names suggest. Portugal's golden generation carries elite individual quality across the pitch, but South Korea's energy, organised pressing and threat on the break make them one of Asia's most awkward opponents. The market's relatively cautious price reflects exactly that: this is no gimme. Portugal will look to control tempo and use their wide creators to stretch the Korean block; Korea will press high in bursts and counter at pace. With Group H rated the most open of the seeded groups, a slow start could quickly cost Portugal top spot. Expect Portugal to dominate the ball, but the value and the drama lie in whether Korea can land a sucker punch. That makes the draw and the Korea double chance the markets worth a closer look here. Cristiano Ronaldo's involvement adds another layer of intrigue to the scorer markets.
👉 New to Polymarket? Read our step-by-step guide to placing your first World Cup bet — what prediction markets are, how USDC works and how to buy a position on a match.
Dig into the wider markets around this match: