Argentina vs Peru 
Argentina are ~75% favorites to beat Peru in their Group I opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
6:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Argentina win Favorite | 75% |
1.33× | Trade |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 16% |
6.25× | Trade |
|
Peru win | 9% |
11.11× | Trade |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
The defending champions open in Miami as 75% favorites against a familiar South American foe in Peru. Argentina's blend of streetwise experience and an elite spine makes them clear favorites, and they know exactly how to manage these continental tests. Peru, lower on talent, will defend deep, compete physically and hope to keep it scoreless before pinching something late. For Argentina the focus is a clean, controlled start in the toughest of the seeded groups, where an in-form Colombia lie in wait. Watch how quickly Argentina can break Peru down — an early goal should open the game up and let the holders cruise. If Peru frustrate them into the second half, expect Miami's heavily pro-Argentina crowd to grow anxious. The market firmly expects the champions to begin with three points. The closer market battle is the goals line, given Peru's likely deep, low block. Historically, the holders rarely stumble in their opening fixture, and few expect that to change here.
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