Netherlands vs Tunisia 
Netherlands are ~74% favorites to beat Tunisia in their Group J opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
6:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium, Boston · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Netherlands win Favorite | 74% |
1.35× | Trade |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 18% |
5.56× | Trade |
|
Tunisia win | 8% |
12.50× | Trade |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
The Netherlands begin in Boston as 74% favorites against a disciplined Tunisia. The Dutch have the technical quality and tournament pedigree to control this comfortably, but Tunisia are organised, defensively committed and capable of making life difficult for a side that has occasionally lacked a clinical edge. Expect plenty of Oranje possession against a deep, narrow Tunisian block; the key for the Dutch is patience and quality in the final third rather than forcing the issue. With Austria the main rival in Group J, the Netherlands will want goals and a clean sheet to set the tone early. If Tunisia can stay compact and frustrate them, this could become the kind of low-scoring, edgy afternoon that flatters the underdog. The market still expects a comfortable Dutch win. The under-goals and draw markets are where the value hunters will be looking. A single moment of Dutch quality should ultimately decide a patient afternoon.
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