Canada are ~52% favorites to beat Ivory Coast in their Group C opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
3:00 PM ET · BC Place, Vancouver · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada win Favorite | 52% |
1.92× | Trade | |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 26% |
3.85× | Trade |
| Ivory Coast win | 22% |
4.55× | Trade | |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
Co-hosts Canada launch their campaign in Vancouver as narrow 52% favorites against a dangerous Ivory Coast. Canada's pace on the flanks and improved game-management under a settled system make them the pick at home, but the Elephants arrive with genuine Premier League and Ligue 1 quality through the spine and the swagger of recent continental success. The market reads this as the most open of the three host openers — barely 30 points of probability separate a Canada win from an Ivory Coast one. The key battle is Canada's full-backs against Ivory Coast's direct, powerful wingers. With Morocco the clear group favorites, both teams will treat this as a must-not-lose, which points to a tight, transition-heavy game decided by a single moment of quality or a set piece. From a market view, the tight spread makes this one of the better value matchups of the opening round, with the draw at a tempting price.
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